Ag Alert. July 19, 2023

Almond crop to be bigger despite weather problems California almond farmers are expect- ed to harvest a slightly larger crop this year, according to a new report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture. the state,” the report said. “Cooler than normal temperatures continued through early summer and delayed the maturity of the crop.” in global demand with high-quality California almonds,” Waycott added. The forecast for the average nut set per tree is 3,953, down 3% from 2022.

average kernel weight for Monterey is 1.69 grams, up 17% from 2022. Independence is 1.88 grams, up 12%. Butte is 1.36 grams, up 20%. Carmel is 1.72 grams, up 17%, and Padre is 1.21 grams, up 10%. Total state bearing acreage—defined as plantings four years and older—con- tinues to rise, with 1.38 million acres in 2023 compared to 1.35 million acres last year. That’s up nearly 57% from 10 years ago, when state bearing acreage stood at 880,000. Almond bearing acreage first topped more than a million in 2017, with 1.03 mil- lion acres, rising 6% from the year before. The price of almonds has generally been on a downward trend. It was val- ued at $1.40 a pound in 2022, down from $1.86 in 2021. The 2020 price was $1.71 a pound compared to $2.45 a pound in 2019. Last year’s price was comparable to prices in 2008, when the nut was valued at $1.45 a pound. The highest price on record was seen in 2014, at $4 a pound. The lowest price on record came in 1999, at 86 cents a pound when state bearing acreage stood at 485,000. The USDA objective report is based on actual almond counts using a statistic methodology. The survey was conducted from May 26 to July 3. A total 1,824 trees were sampled in 912 orchards, 32 more orchards than in 2022.

Richard Waycott, president and CEO of the Almond Board of California, said the forecast for a larger crop shows the resiliency of California almond orchards, even after some of the challenges farmers faced in recent years, including the obsta- cles this past wet, cool winter and spring created after three years of drought. “Almond farmers have worked hard while dealing with higher production and financing costs and a bloom with highly compromised bee flight hours,” he said. “They are very thankful, however, for the abundant rain and snow, which vastly improved the water situation, at least for now, and for shipping logistics that con- tinue to improve. “The perseverance of California’s al- mond farmers is admirable as is their commitment to meet future growth

The 2023 California Almond Objective Measurement Report published last week estimates the crop will come in at 2.6 billion meat pounds, 1% above last year’s 2.57 billion pounds. The estimate is up 4% from USDA’s subjective forecast in May and comes af- ter one of the wettest winters on record, limited bee flights because of rain and wind, and a cool spring. USDA’s forecasted yield is 1,880 pounds per acre, down 20 pounds from 2022 and the lowest since 2009. The slightly bigger crop comes partly because of larger nut size and despite dif- ficult conditions, USDA reported. “Record level rainfall and unprece- dented stormy conditions hindered bee pollination activity in orchards across

The nonpareil average nut set of 4,004 is 1% more than last year. The average nut set of the Monterey variety is 3,598, down 8% from 2022. Independence is 4,048, a decline of 12%, while Butte is 4,043, down 3%. Merced County remains the top region in setting average nuts per tree at 4,686, down nearly 31% from 2022. Tulare County is second at an average 4,677 nuts per tree, down nearly 12% from last year. Third is Kern County, with an average 4,374 nuts per tree, down 6%. Colusa County ranks fourth this year, rising from seventh place last year with an average 4,336 nuts per tree; that’s up nearly 65% from 2022. Placing fifth is Stanislaus County with an average 4,260 nuts per tree, up 26%. Sixth is Fresno County with 2,946 nuts per tree, down 25%. San Joaquin County ranks seventh with 3,196 nuts per tree, down 19%. Madera County remains at eighth place with an average 3,001 nuts per tree, up nearly 15% from 2022. The average kernel weight for all variet- ies sampled was 1.67 grams, up 14% from the 2022 average weight. The nonpareil average kernel weight is 1.69 grams, up 9% from last year. The

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4 Ag Alert July 19, 2023

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